PolyRocket Signal Lab

Current Signals

Signal	Dir	Reason
candlestick_pattern	DOWN	bearish engulfing
cvd_taker_flow	UP	taker buy $35638 (+32.8%)
funding_velocity	--	FR stable 1.4%/yr
liq_cluster_change	UP	shorts at risk 3.6x longs
mean_reversion	--	no overextension
oi_delta_price	--	no prior reading
orderbook_imbalance	UP	bid/ask=13.06 heavy bids
premium_direction	--	insufficient history
price_streak	--	streak only 1
prior_window_mom	UP	prev window +0.100%
support_resistance	UP	at support $68889
volume_spike	DOWN	vol spike 17.8x DOWN

Signal Accuracy (vs actual BTC direction)

Signal	Accuracy	Bar	Right	Wrong	Neutral	Windows
cvd_taker_flow	100.0%		3	0	0	3
volume_spike	100.0%		1	0	2	3
orderbook_imbalance	66.7%		2	1	0	3
liq_cluster_change	33.3%		1	2	0	3
support_resistance	33.3%		1	2	0	3
candlestick_pattern	0.0%		0	1	2	3
funding_velocity	--		0	0	3	3
mean_reversion	--		0	0	3	3
oi_delta_price	--		0	0	3	3
premium_direction	--		0	0	3	3
price_streak	0.0%		0	1	2	3
prior_window_mom	0.0%		0	1	2	3

Scored against Binance BTC price every window, whether we bet or not.

Best Signal Pairs (both agree)

Combo	Dir	Acc	N
liq_cluster_change + support_resistance	UP	33.3%	3

Only combos with 3+ occurrences shown. Sorted by accuracy.

Best Signal Triples (all 3 agree)

Need more data for triple analysis...

Regime Detection (AM vs PM)

Signal	Session	Accuracy	Trades
cvd_taker_flow	PM	100.0%	3
liq_cluster_change	PM	33.3%	3
orderbook_imbalance	PM	66.7%	3
support_resistance	PM	33.3%	3

Compare signal accuracy across market sessions.

Window Timeline (last 30 windows)

Time	BTC Open	BTC Close	Move	Actual	Signals
22:10	$68,892	$68,973	+0.118%	UP	candlestick_:- cvd_taker_fl:U funding_velo:- liq_cluster_:U mean_reversi:- oi_delta_pri:- orderbook_im:D premium_dire:- price_streak:D prior_window:D support_resi:U volume_spike:-
22:05	$68,946	$68,896	-0.072%	DOWN	candlestick_:- cvd_taker_fl:D funding_velo:- liq_cluster_:U mean_reversi:- oi_delta_pri:- orderbook_im:D premium_dire:- price_streak:- prior_window:- support_resi:U volume_spike:D
22:00	$68,932	$68,918	-0.020%	DOWN	candlestick_:U cvd_taker_fl:D funding_velo:- liq_cluster_:U mean_reversi:- oi_delta_pri:- orderbook_im:D premium_dire:- price_streak:- prior_window:- support_resi:U volume_spike:-

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